Penalty Shootout Calculator
Predict shootout outcomes with team tendencies and kicker data.
Results
Calculating...
Team Tends (Presets)
Select from historical shootout specialists. Rates reflect tournament performance since 2000.
Brazil
75% success. Strong first five. Best penalty takers in world.
Germany
70% success. Consistent. Good at avoiding misses.
Argentina
68% success. Messi era shooters dominate early kicks.
France
72% success. Good at sudden death adaptation.
How to Use This Calculator
Use this calculator before a match or fantasy draft. Start by picking teams from the dropdown or using a preset. Adjust the success rates with the sliders. The rates are based on real tournament data, not league averages.
The sudden death toggle changes how the calculation handles extra kicks. When on, the model uses pressure-adjusted odds. When off, it stops after the set number of kicks.
Weather affects the home team slightly. Rain and wind reduce both teams success rates. Snow has the biggest impact on away teams.
Common Mistakes
- Using league form instead of tournament data. Shootout success is different from open play scoring.
- Setting rates too high. Even the best teams miss 20 percent of penalties.
- Ignoring the order. Some teams score first with their best taker.
- Missing the weather effect. Outdoor tournaments in rain see lower success rates overall.
Share Your Scenario
Click Share Results to copy a link with your settings. Paste it in a group chat or fantasy league discussion. The link preserves team names, rates, and weather.
Export for Fantasy Leagues
Use Copy Results to get a text summary. Paste into your fantasy notes or share with your league. The summary includes probabilities and projected kick order.
Last updated: June 2026. Rates are refreshed each tournament cycle.